APRIL / 2025

The current economic situation in Brazil is marked by a stagnant Selic rate, which remains at high levels, while inflation persists at high levels. This scenario makes it difficult to adopt interest rate cuts, which would be necessary to stimulate economic growth. With inflation putting pressure on prices and eroding the population's purchasing power, pressure on the Central Bank increases, as it is necessary to find a balance between controlling inflation and encouraging consumption and investment. Maintaining the Selic rate at a high level, despite expectations of an economic slowdown, reflects the uncertainties in the face of a volatile global environment and the internal challenges that Brazil faces. Therefore, it is crucial that economic authorities adopt effective strategies that promote stability and sustainable growth.

Recent projections for gross domestic product (GDP) point to a slight recovery in the economy, with growth estimates rising from 1.98% to 2.00% in 2025. This news is encouraging, as it suggests that economic growth expectations are stabilizing, even in a context of challenges such as fiscal constraints and a volatile external environment. For 2026, the outlook is equally encouraging, with the forecast rising from 1.61% to 1.70%. This improvement in projections reflects growing confidence in the country's ability to overcome current economic obstacles and return to a path of sustainable growth. Thus, although there are uncertainties, the signs of an increase in growth rates bring hope for the coming years.

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